I heard weather predictions this fall and early winter that we in the DC area were going to get 30 inches of snow. When it was 54 degrees on Christmas day, and 44 degrees on New Years day that prediction was well not believed. What they didn’t mention was we would get 30 inches in one snow fall. One 36 hour period of snow fall non-stop producing – well the picture above. My driveway in the DC area. Not covered, but buried in snow.
Weather prediction used to be as much art as science. Now it is mostly science. Its amazing how accurate they are in predictions. They were calling for bands of snowfall and ranges within the bands and frankly they were really close. Well I shouldn’t say they, I should say the weather forecaster in the DC area that I personally listen to. He was spot on. The range he predicted that includes where we live was within 2 inches of the actual snow fall. I remember in the last century we used to make fun of the weather people because they were more often wrong.
Technology allows them to build and follow models all the way through. To see how all the variables will impact that particular storm. Instead of relying on the older concept of “the last 10 times a storm like this followed this path this happened” they can play out 100 versions of the same storm. They can predict tidal flow and air movement. A new level of accuracy. That’s why I wonder. You see scientists have advanced weather predictions and models well beyond where they were 20 years ago. 20 years ago more and more scientists began to say the earth was warming. That we were changing the weather patterns and making the planet warmer with all the greenhouse gasses we were releasing into the atmosphere.
People argued against that and those scientists 20 years ago. They argued against Al Gore’s inconvenient truth now 15 years ago. They argued against the change in weather patterns after Karina, and Super Storm Sandy. They continue to, in the face of now insurmountable evidence argue against global warming. Some still argue against what is now sadly a hugely insurmountable truth. There are no reputable scientists that say global warming isn’t true.
The ocean is 12-14 inches higher now than it was in the 1700’s. Who cares. 2011 was the warmest year ever recorded, well until 2015. Who cares. It’s a cycle. It will come around.
Nature loves a balance. Things will self correct. I’ve heard the many arguments. Measure temperature over and epoch. Any one year is a variance. That’s true, any one year is a variance. Any two years are a variance. But when you start talking about the hottest year ever recorded in more than 200 years of recording temperatures its not a variance.
The impact of humans on the environment is now fact. Look at Beijing and Shanghai. People are told to stay indoors because the smog is so bad it is dangerous. Los Angeles has a smog problem because of the topology it sits in. It is there, facts that lie before us. Lies we tell ourselves, that scientists are wrong. 10 years ago you could find a scientist that would argue against global warming. Now you can’t find a reputable scientist that would say anything like that. You can see and hear conservative politicians speak out against global warming. I heard an ad by Marco Rubio that scared me. He said that Obama says global warming is our biggest threat not ISIS. That he as president would take care of ISIS because global warming wasn’t a threat. That terrifies me, to have that on national television without being censored.
Dear Marco, given that global warming has impact on the entire world, where ISIS certainly bad and horrible, has a much smaller impact. Marco, some of the predictions for the impact of the ocean rising could mean millions of people are displaces. Millions of acres of farmland gone. I think perhaps you should amend your ad on TV. You should say ISIS is the crisis we are facing right now. But let’s not take our eyes off the bigger crisis that will change our world forever if we aren’t careful. There is an easy solution for global warming. It is a two step process that we can implement cheaply and worldwide very quickly.
1. Teach everyone to swim
2. Give life vests to the people we like.
Global Warming Monger…