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Over the years I have argued that the internet will have a burp moment. As my boss used to say years ago an “Ah #$#$ moment.” One of those moments wipes out 20 atta boys.
The impact of the burp will be significant. As someone who think about the future I wonder if the impact won’t actually slow the overall adoption of cloud computing. The reason I am thinking this right now is that the burp will cost some companies and some people some amount of data.
What they lose will not only be the data. Hopefully everyone understand the concept of backing up their data so it will be the confidence in the system that is lost.
That confidence is in the end the risk of the overall system failure. That people will no longer see the internet as “all being” and instead come to realize that like anything built in a Hodge-Podge manner the reality of failure is greater than the reality of success.
You throw enough bailing wire and chewing gum at something and eventually it will cease to work the way it did before. Add into that the rubber band effect and you have a nice little destructive burp.
It won’t start out large of course. It will start out as a small error in one segment or two possible. Perhaps for people to take me seriously I should put this into a Nostradamus type quatrain.
The ends will weaken
the middle bow
and the great beast know as the internet
will bow to the pressure
and collapse
You can see the ends weakening now. The drops are greater today than the were 10 years ago. Of course the potential content is also greater therefore of course the drops are greater. But reality is it doesn’t take a lot of water, just a weakness in the wrong levy at the wrong time. Where is that levy on the internet? Which one will break first?
.doc
